Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Guentzel wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Guentzel
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Guentzel
Reinhart
Last 9: Guentzel 8-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
7
0
Guentzel
Reinhart
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Guentzel
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
44.1% (324)
+2.0%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
40.3% (72)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
33.9% (118)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Guentzel shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Reinhart
Home
49.3% (201)
40.5% (232)
Away
42.6% (183)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Guentzel
Reinhart
P1
49.6%
46.4%
P2
45.6%
32.6%
P3
41.6%
45.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |