Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 56.0%). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Pageau
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Pageau
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
55.9% (499)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
56.3% (126)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
58.3% (12)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Pageau
Stamkos
Home
57.0% (618)
55.3% (349)
Away
53.9% (607)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Pageau
Stamkos
P1
54.4%
57.0%
P2
61.0%
59.2%
P3
51.0%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |