Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
43.0% (349)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
31.8% (88)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.7% (203)
38.5% (231)
Away
50.4% (141)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.5%
40.2%
P2
50.4%
36.0%
P3
53.8%
45.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |