Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
51.0% (408)
+0.7%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
0.0% (6)
+48.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
35.9% (78)
+26.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.5% (313)
50.8% (258)
Away
53.5% (333)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.5%
51.6%
P2
51.1%
45.2%
P3
49.0%
47.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |