Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
5
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
5
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
44.8% (8,775)
+4.2%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
50.6% (844)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
37.8% (880)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.7% (2,197)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.9%
45.1%
P2
50.4%
43.9%
P3
47.2%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |