Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 56.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
46.0% (250)
+1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
70.6% (17)
+29.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
31.8% (22)
+1.5%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.5% (129)
50.3% (175)
Away
50.0% (84)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.3%
48.5%
P2
46.1%
45.9%
P3
45.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%