Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Hayes 43.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 81.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 72.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Pavelski
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
42.7% (478)
+9.8%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
42.9% (98)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
45.2% (31)
-0.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Hayes
Home
55.0% (391)
43.5% (232)
Away
49.7% (360)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Pavelski
Hayes
P1
50.8%
40.1%
P2
55.0%
44.8%
P3
52.0%
42.4%
OT
25.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |