Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Hayes 49.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 62.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 72.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 60.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Pavelski
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
48.5% (557)
+3.8%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
53.3% (107)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
58.3% (12)
+4.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Hayes
Home
54.2% (360)
50.8% (313)
Away
52.6% (329)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Pavelski
Hayes
P1
54.5%
52.3%
P2
56.7%
47.7%
P3
50.8%
48.4%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |