Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 60.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Veleno
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Veleno
Bjugstad
Last 10: Veleno 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
1
Veleno
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Veleno
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Veleno
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
50.7% (906)
-2.3%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
48.1% (108)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
44.4% (239)
+0.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Veleno shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Veleno
Bjugstad
Home
48.8% (289)
49.8% (643)
Away
49.2% (333)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Veleno
Bjugstad
P1
46.1%
49.4%
P2
50.9%
50.5%
P3
49.7%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.0%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |