Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 56.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Veleno
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Veleno
Bjugstad
Last 10: Veleno 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
6
2
Veleno
Bjugstad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
4
Veleno
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
3
Veleno
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,317)
48.6% (6,646)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
55.2% (829)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
44.3% (614)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (880).
Veleno shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Veleno
Bjugstad
Home
45.3% (1,136)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
48.6% (1,367)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Veleno
Bjugstad
P1
47.9%
48.9%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
45.9%
48.5%
OT
35.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |