Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 55.2%
Defensive zone
Veleno 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Veleno
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Veleno
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Veleno
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (278)
49.7% (292)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
47.2% (36)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Veleno shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Veleno
Bjugstad
Home
49.6% (123)
48.7% (193)
Away
52.2% (184)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Veleno
Bjugstad
P1
54.1%
41.5%
P2
48.8%
57.3%
P3
52.6%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |