Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Aho 51.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Tavares
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Tavares
Aho
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
3
Tavares
Aho
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
48.5% (778)
+9.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
63.4% (191)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
50.8% (65)
+8.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Tavares
Aho
Home
61.0% (661)
51.3% (530)
Away
55.3% (584)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Tavares
Aho
P1
58.6%
50.0%
P2
57.8%
51.3%
P3
58.4%
52.1%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |