Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Aho 50.4% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Tavares
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares
Aho
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
50.5% (647)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.2% (173)
54.2% (131)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
38.1% (42)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Tavares shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Tavares
Aho
Home
58.0% (500)
53.9% (445)
Away
59.7% (375)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Tavares
Aho
P1
59.5%
48.7%
P2
58.5%
51.4%
P3
58.2%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |