Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 67.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 65.3%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 67.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Staal
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Staal
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Staal
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Staal
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
50.7% (144)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
50.0% (2)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
50.0% (10)
-4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Staal
Lafferty
Home
54.3% (667)
53.2% (62)
Away
54.7% (662)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Staal
Lafferty
P1
56.2%
53.3%
P2
57.0%
46.7%
P3
49.7%
52.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |