Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 56.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.3%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Staal
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
50.0% (46)
+6.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Lafferty is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Staal
Lafferty
Home
55.4% (699)
47.8% (23)
Away
54.4% (702)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Staal
Lafferty
P1
55.7%
53.3%
P2
54.7%
55.6%
P3
53.4%
42.9%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%