Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Dubois 47.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 66.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 66.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Hayes
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Hayes
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
46.1% (1,050)
-3.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
58.0% (81)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
25.0% (4)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Dubois is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dubois
Home
43.5% (232)
47.0% (581)
Away
42.4% (375)
46.8% (554)
By Period
Hayes
Dubois
P1
40.1%
46.9%
P2
44.8%
50.1%
P3
42.4%
43.9%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |