Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Dubois 49.0% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Dubois 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Hayes
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
48.7% (809)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
50.9% (163)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
37.5% (16)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dubois
Home
50.8% (313)
50.5% (497)
Away
48.2% (363)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Hayes
Dubois
P1
52.3%
49.0%
P2
47.7%
48.2%
P3
48.4%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.9%