Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Dubois 49.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 68.1%
Defensive zone
Dubois 51.0%
Neutral zone
Dubois 56.4%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Hayes
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Hayes
Dubois
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Hayes
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Hayes
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
49.3% (842)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
57.1% (35)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
55.6% (9)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dubois
Home
58.0% (405)
51.0% (445)
Away
56.1% (433)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Hayes
Dubois
P1
54.7%
50.3%
P2
55.7%
49.5%
P3
60.2%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
58.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |