Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Dubois 49.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.3%
Defensive zone
Dubois 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Hayes
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayes
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Hayes
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
49.8% (1,064)
+1.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
46.3% (67)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
53.3% (30)
+6.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dubois
Home
50.5% (200)
48.3% (582)
Away
53.4% (253)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Hayes
Dubois
P1
58.8%
52.0%
P2
49.3%
49.9%
P3
48.0%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |