Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 81.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 59.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Eller
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Eller
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
53.4% (337)
-0.6%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
100.0% (4)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
75.0% (8)
-28.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Eller
Kastelic
Home
54.5% (448)
56.2% (162)
Away
50.2% (484)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Eller
Kastelic
P1
52.8%
58.2%
P2
50.9%
58.8%
P3
53.4%
45.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |