Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 85.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 77.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Eller
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Eller
Kastelic
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
4
Eller
Kastelic
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
8
Eller
Kastelic
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
4
Eller
Kastelic
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
57.0% (1,635)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
80.0% (25)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
53.8% (279)
-7.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Eller shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Eller
Kastelic
Home
51.4% (6,122)
58.7% (904)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Eller
Kastelic
P1
51.2%
58.6%
P2
50.1%
56.5%
P3
50.2%
55.6%
OT
56.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |