Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 75.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 69.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Eller
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Eller
Zibanejad
Last 9: Eller 6-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
50.1% (1,051)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
58.3% (120)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
41.9% (227)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Eller
Zibanejad
Home
56.4% (486)
49.0% (681)
Away
51.2% (537)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Eller
Zibanejad
P1
55.1%
49.9%
P2
55.3%
47.6%
P3
51.7%
51.1%
OT
27.3%
48.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.7%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |