Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 54 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 73-60 in 133 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 59.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Eller
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
73
(133 meetings)
60
73
Eller
Zibanejad
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
13
41
Eller
Zibanejad
54 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
27
15
Eller
Zibanejad
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
20
17
Eller
Zibanejad
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,321)
50.9% (11,756)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
52.2% (1,852)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (1,759)
41.6% (1,796)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Eller shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Eller
Zibanejad
Home
51.4% (6,122)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
49.7% (6,607)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Eller
Zibanejad
P1
51.2%
50.4%
P2
50.1%
49.7%
P3
50.2%
49.9%
OT
56.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Lars Eller |