Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 86.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 51.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 69.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Eller
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Eller
Zibanejad
Last 10: Eller 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Eller
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
5
Eller
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
50.9% (913)
+1.9%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
59.0% (39)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
37.5% (160)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Eller
Zibanejad
Home
54.5% (448)
51.1% (536)
Away
50.2% (484)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Eller
Zibanejad
P1
52.8%
50.1%
P2
50.9%
47.3%
P3
53.4%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |