Scouting Report
Noah Gregor holds a +23.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Gregor 51.6% (-23.5%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 55.9%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Gregor 50.5%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Carlsson
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
63.6% (22)
-29.2%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On power play, Carlsson has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Gregor is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Gregor
Home
38.6% (254)
58.3% (12)
Away
31.6% (307)
58.3% (12)
By Period
Carlsson
Gregor
P1
35.9%
77.8%
P2
33.8%
44.4%
P3
34.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
34.8%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
58.3%