Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Gregor 40.4% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 57.6%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 62.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.1%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Carlsson
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,873)
36.6% (202)
+4.2%
Power Play
43.2% (155)
28.6% (14)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
0.0% (1)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Carlsson is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,506).
Carlsson shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Gregor
Home
42.2% (1,044)
36.2% (116)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Carlsson
Gregor
P1
43.2%
36.8%
P2
36.2%
28.0%
P3
43.3%
45.5%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
40.7%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%