Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Gregor 46.4% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 51.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 61.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Carlsson
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (690)
36.8% (38)
+8.1%
Power Play
47.0% (83)
50.0% (2)
-3.0%
On even strength, Carlsson has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Carlsson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carlsson shoots left. Gregor is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Gregor
Home
42.5% (428)
40.7% (27)
Away
45.5% (429)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Carlsson
Gregor
P1
45.1%
42.9%
P2
39.0%
21.4%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.0%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
37.5%