Scouting Report
Noah Gregor holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Gregor 50.5% (-15.7%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 53.9%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Carlsson
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
57.1% (7)
-15.3%
On even strength, Gregor has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Gregor is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Gregor
Home
44.5% (362)
50.0% (2)
Away
38.3% (368)
60.0% (5)
By Period
Carlsson
Gregor
P1
46.3%
75.0%
P2
35.1%
0.0%
P3
43.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
41.4%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
57.1%