Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 47.4% vs Backlund 48.5% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 72.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Barzal
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (52)
50.4% (1,032)
-8.1%
On even strength, Backlund has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Barzal shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Barzal
Backlund
Home
28.0% (25)
48.7% (749)
Away
55.6% (27)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Barzal
Backlund
P1
47.4%
50.4%
P2
45.8%
50.1%
P3
22.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
37.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.3%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.4%