Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 47.2%). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Granlund 47.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 52.5%
Defensive zone
Granlund 63.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Barzal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Barzal
Granlund
Last 5: Barzal 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
47.7% (1,001)
-1.1%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
53.4% (73)
-12.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
49.6% (242)
45.9% (582)
Away
43.3% (263)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
42.4%
48.6%
P2
49.5%
46.7%
P3
47.7%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |