Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Granlund 49.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 61.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 56.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 57.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Barzal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barzal
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Barzal
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
49.7% (493)
-8.8%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
58.6% (111)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
31.1% (61)
-2.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
39.2% (250)
54.7% (276)
Away
41.3% (264)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
46.3%
52.2%
P2
36.7%
49.3%
P3
38.5%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
41.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |