Mathew Barzal vs Mikael Granlund

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mikael Granlund holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barzal 42.2% vs Granlund 48.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor Granlund leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Barzal 60.8%
Defensive zone Barzal 57.5%
Neutral zone Barzal 58.2%
Result Mathew Barzal favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Barzal Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 6 (11 meetings)
5
6
Barzal Granlund
Last 10: Barzal 5-5 Granlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
1
Barzal Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Barzal Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Barzal Granlund
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,558)
48.6% (6,628)
-6.7%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
52.1% (728)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
43.7% (625)
-1.4%
On power play, Granlund has a +8.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,695).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,913).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
43.1% (1,893)
51.0% (3,808)
Away
40.9% (1,896)
46.2% (4,173)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
40.6%
48.8%
P2
44.4%
48.7%
P3
41.0%
48.2%
OT
27.6%
43.6%
Final 5 min
39.9%
47.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%
44.5%
42.0%
Granlund
56.0%
43.0%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 11, 2025 3 04:17 Offensive Mikael Granlund
Jan 18, 2025 2 03:17 Defensive Mikael Granlund
Jan 18, 2025 1 03:16 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Mar 7, 2024 2 16:08 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Dec 9, 2021 3 12:31 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Dec 9, 2021 3 07:01 Defensive Mathew Barzal
Dec 9, 2021 2 14:13 Neutral Mikael Granlund
Oct 30, 2021 3 16:01 Defensive Mikael Granlund
Oct 30, 2021 2 05:08 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Feb 10, 2019 2 02:01 Neutral Mikael Granlund
Feb 19, 2018 3 08:56 Defensive Mikael Granlund