Mathew Barzal vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Granlund 48.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 60.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 56.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 57.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Barzal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Barzal
Granlund
Last 10: Barzal 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
3
1
Barzal
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Barzal
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Barzal
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,571)
48.6% (6,765)
-6.7%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
53.0% (760)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
43.6% (635)
-1.3%
On power play, Granlund has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,967).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
43.2% (1,901)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
40.6%
48.8%
P2
44.6%
48.7%
P3
41.1%
48.5%
OT
27.6%
43.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |