Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Granlund 47.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 75.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 59.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Barzal
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
46.7% (885)
-3.7%
On even strength, Granlund has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Barzal
Granlund
Home
35.8% (53)
51.1% (495)
Away
49.2% (61)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Barzal
Granlund
P1
44.2%
49.9%
P2
38.5%
46.4%
P3
46.9%
44.3%
Final 5 min
38.1%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
43.0%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |