Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.3% vs Frost 49.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 77.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 60.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 61.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Barzal
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
48.6% (704)
-5.6%
On even strength, Frost has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Barzal shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Barzal
Frost
Home
35.8% (53)
49.9% (399)
Away
49.2% (61)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Barzal
Frost
P1
44.2%
51.2%
P2
38.5%
53.9%
P3
46.9%
42.7%
Final 5 min
38.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
43.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |