Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.9% vs Frost 56.4% (-16.8%)
Offensive zone
Frost 76.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 52.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Barzal
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (469)
56.0% (755)
-15.1%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
60.1% (173)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
88.9% (9)
-60.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +60.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Barzal shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Barzal
Frost
Home
39.2% (250)
57.3% (497)
Away
41.3% (264)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Barzal
Frost
P1
46.3%
60.2%
P2
36.7%
56.0%
P3
38.5%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
41.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%