Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Janmark wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 47.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 51.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 62.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Janmark
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Janmark
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Janmark
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
0
Janmark
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (51)
54.1% (1,117)
-5.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
59.8% (296)
-59.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
34.4% (32)
-20.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Janmark is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Janmark shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Janmark
Hertl
Home
46.4% (28)
54.3% (709)
Away
41.9% (31)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Janmark
Hertl
P1
41.7%
51.6%
P2
36.8%
53.6%
P3
56.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
26.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
44.1%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |