Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Janmark wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 46.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 64.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.4%
Neutral zone
Janmark 56.2%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Janmark
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Janmark
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Janmark
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (66)
57.0% (718)
-10.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
64.9% (188)
-64.9%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
44.2% (77)
-31.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Janmark is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Janmark shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Janmark
Hertl
Home
56.7% (30)
59.2% (463)
Away
33.3% (45)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Janmark
Hertl
P1
55.6%
56.3%
P2
31.8%
55.4%
P3
38.5%
60.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
42.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |