Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Janmark wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 43.4% vs Hertl 55.4% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 68.0%
Defensive zone
Janmark 79.9%
Neutral zone
Janmark 76.4%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Janmark
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Janmark
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Janmark
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (213)
54.1% (717)
-13.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.9% (210)
-61.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
58.1% (31)
-18.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +61.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Janmark is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Janmark shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Janmark
Hertl
Home
44.1% (111)
58.1% (492)
Away
37.5% (128)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Janmark
Hertl
P1
34.6%
57.1%
P2
41.5%
54.0%
P3
45.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.6%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |