Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 89.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 64.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 72.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Zibanejad
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
0
Zibanejad
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
55.3% (628)
-5.2%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
55.1% (216)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
40.2% (87)
+1.7%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Home
49.0% (681)
55.5% (499)
Away
49.9% (717)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stamkos
P1
49.9%
50.7%
P2
47.6%
53.8%
P3
51.1%
55.9%
OT
48.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |