Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 75.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Last 6: Zibanejad 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Zibanejad
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
55.9% (499)
-5.0%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
56.3% (126)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
58.3% (12)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Home
51.1% (536)
55.3% (349)
Away
47.6% (576)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stamkos
P1
50.1%
57.0%
P2
47.3%
59.2%
P3
50.7%
51.5%
OT
45.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |