Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 83.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 72.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Zibanejad
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Zibanejad
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
49.3% (670)
+3.6%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
53.7% (121)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
33.3% (3)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Stamkos
Home
55.1% (501)
54.0% (400)
Away
49.2% (555)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Zibanejad
Stamkos
P1
57.5%
48.6%
P2
50.7%
54.5%
P3
47.9%
45.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |