Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 49.3% vs Paul 53.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 51.5%
Defensive zone
Geekie 57.6%
Neutral zone
Geekie 57.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Geekie
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Geekie
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Geekie
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (505)
53.8% (753)
-3.9%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
58.9% (90)
-58.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (93)
47.4% (78)
+1.0%
On power play, Paul has a +58.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Geekie shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Geekie
Paul
Home
50.0% (314)
54.2% (450)
Away
48.3% (290)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Geekie
Paul
P1
51.3%
58.2%
P2
46.9%
50.6%
P3
49.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |