Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 46.8% vs Paul 52.9% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 62.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Geekie
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (99)
53.1% (277)
-8.7%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
58.7% (46)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
51.7% (29)
-51.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Geekie is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Geekie shoots right. Paul is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Geekie
Paul
Home
43.7% (71)
52.9% (155)
Away
45.0% (60)
54.3% (197)
By Period
Geekie
Paul
P1
39.2%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
56.7%
P3
42.9%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%