Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.7% vs Paul 53.6% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 69.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 64.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 56.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Geekie
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Geekie
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Geekie
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (120)
53.7% (354)
-7.0%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
59.0% (61)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
52.9% (34)
-52.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Geekie shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Geekie
Paul
Home
46.8% (77)
55.1% (216)
Away
45.7% (81)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Geekie
Paul
P1
42.4%
54.9%
P2
49.1%
54.5%
P3
47.6%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
35.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nick Paul |