Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Aho 53.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 71.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 72.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 69.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Kadri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kadri
Aho
Last 8: Kadri 2-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Kadri
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kadri
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Kadri
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
51.2% (785)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
63.8% (213)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
57.9% (57)
-2.3%
On power play, Aho has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Kadri
Aho
Home
48.3% (621)
54.9% (548)
Away
49.6% (589)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Kadri
Aho
P1
48.1%
52.8%
P2
48.9%
58.9%
P3
49.8%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |