Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 73.1%
Defensive zone
Kadri 70.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 70.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Kadri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kadri
Aho
Last 7: Kadri 2-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kadri
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Kadri
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
54.5% (870)
-8.8%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
62.4% (266)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
37.1% (62)
-2.3%
On power play, Aho has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Kadri
Aho
Home
46.5% (725)
53.9% (603)
Away
46.0% (739)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Kadri
Aho
P1
47.2%
54.1%
P2
44.9%
55.0%
P3
46.3%
57.4%
OT
51.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |