Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Kadri wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 61.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kadri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
23
(48 meetings)
25
23
Kadri
Aho
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Kadri
Aho
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
4
Kadri
Aho
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
14
13
Kadri
Aho
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (12,377)
50.1% (6,415)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.1% (1,873)
59.1% (1,297)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
46.0% (446)
-5.0%
On power play, Aho has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kadri is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,267).
Kadri shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Kadri
Aho
Home
49.3% (7,387)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
48.2% (7,159)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Kadri
Aho
P1
49.3%
51.2%
P2
48.9%
52.1%
P3
48.1%
50.8%
OT
49.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |