Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Aho 50.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 64.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 65.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 66.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Kadri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Aho
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Kadri
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
50.5% (878)
-4.0%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
53.5% (144)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
44.3% (61)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kadri shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Kadri
Aho
Home
45.8% (513)
53.8% (571)
Away
47.6% (452)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Kadri
Aho
P1
52.4%
49.0%
P2
48.5%
51.7%
P3
39.7%
50.3%
OT
44.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |