Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.5% vs Aho 50.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 57.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Kadri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Aho
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Kadri
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (688)
50.5% (647)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
54.2% (131)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
38.1% (42)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kadri is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Kadri shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Kadri
Aho
Home
49.1% (407)
53.9% (445)
Away
49.9% (361)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Kadri
Aho
P1
56.4%
48.7%
P2
51.7%
51.4%
P3
41.4%
50.8%
OT
44.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |