Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Thompson 44.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 56.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 65.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Suzuki
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Suzuki
Thompson
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Suzuki
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Suzuki
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
4
Suzuki
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
44.6% (709)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
41.5% (53)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
35.1% (97)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thompson
Home
54.2% (638)
45.5% (426)
Away
51.0% (673)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Suzuki
Thompson
P1
51.5%
48.5%
P2
53.3%
43.8%
P3
52.4%
38.1%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
52.6%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |