Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.4% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 46-34 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 90.2%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 73.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 84.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Suzuki
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
34
(80 meetings)
46
34
Suzuki
Thompson
Last 10: Suzuki 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
13
8
Suzuki
Thompson
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
11
10
Suzuki
Thompson
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
22
16
Suzuki
Thompson
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,368)
42.9% (3,540)
+6.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,355)
46.9% (373)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (466)
33.6% (265)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thompson
Home
51.1% (4,031)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
47.7% (4,158)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Suzuki
Thompson
P1
48.9%
44.4%
P2
49.1%
43.7%
P3
50.3%
40.0%
OT
44.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |