Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Thompson 43.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 55.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Suzuki
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Suzuki
Thompson
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Suzuki
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Suzuki
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
2
Suzuki
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
41.9% (597)
+10.5%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
50.5% (95)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
25.0% (12)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thompson
Home
53.2% (645)
47.1% (367)
Away
50.1% (673)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Suzuki
Thompson
P1
48.9%
44.2%
P2
51.5%
41.6%
P3
54.9%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |